Not your father's CIA
In the immediate post Vietnam era the CIA was the bogeyman who was responsible for the state of all banana 'republics', the backwardness of African nations, the deaths of everyone from Dag Hammerskold to Malcom X, purveyors of cocaine to americans who happened to be black in Watts, and plotting the overthrow of the whole gamut from Castro to Allende, not excepting the sluttization of the 1st lady of Canada.
But hey, these guys were DOING THINGS. The headlines said they were wrongheaded things, but they were things. Of course, one might also argue that some of these (real, unheadlined) things weakened the enemy without sending 150,000 men to Baghdad.
Now most of the errors occur from behind desks in a kindler gentler world.
The China Thing
Gertz...
U.S. intelligence takes softer line on China . . .
Senior U.S. intelligence officials warned last week that China’s rise could lead it to become a global threat, as Beijing’s demand for energy drives it toward greater control of oil-rich regions of the world.China’s leaders last year sought to align foreign policy with goals related to domestic development, including gaining access to new sources of energy, Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte stated.
China is trying to develop friendlier ties with the United States and states on its periphery to “assure peaceful borders and to avoid perceived containment by other powers.”
Negroponte noted that China sought to improve ties with Japan and said the “prospects for cross-strait conflict with Taiwan diminished.”
Diminished? Based on what, you putz? Taiwan's reticence to hold a plebiscite on separation?
His conciliatory comments contrast sharply with last year's Pentagon’s assessment of Chinese military power. That report stated that China’s arms build up appears directed to projecting power far from its shores. However Negroponte noted the PLA has weapons systems that pose credible threats to U.S. platforms“The Chinese are developing more capable long-range conventional strike systems and short- and medium-range ballistic missiles with terminally guided maneuverable warheads able to attack United States carriers and airbases,” Negroponte said.
Now silly me, but it sounds like, short of the explanation of a direct deterrent existential threat to the people of the USA, this just MIGHT be interpreted as a threat in being to all american forces that might be assigned to help Taiwan defend itself in extremis. But what do I know?
However, it seems I am not alone..... . . . But the DIA sees China buildup as threat
In contrast to Negroponte, DIA Director Lt. Gen. Michael Maples last week presented a harsh assessment of China’s military buildup during Senate Intelligence Committee testimony.The DIA director said China’s buildup has gone on for more than a decade and includes huge spending increases that are largely hidden from public and international view.
“PRC leaders remain focused on improving the quality of military personnel and developing or acquiring long-range, precision-strike missiles, modern fighter aircraft, a blue-water navy, and improved amphibious forces,” Maples said.
“China took delivery of the final three SS-N-27B-capable KILO-class submarines over the past year, completing its contract with Russia for eight of these submarines,” he said in describing the advanced anti-ship missile on the subs.
While China appears focused on “internal issues,” Maples said, its foreign policy is driven by economic development, maintaining communist party control and safeguarding internal stability.
Contrary to publications that stress peaceful development, “a major driver of Chinese foreign policy is the acquisition of adequate supplies of resources and materials for its development,” Maples said.
“China’s continued search for energy may become a point of contention between itself and the West, potentially affecting its policy towards Iran, a key Chinese energy supplier,” he said.
On Taiwan, Beijing is seeking to prevent formal Taiwan independence but estimates based on long-term military, economic and diplomatic trends favoring Beijing are indicators that China “will not try to force unification.”
Internal political difficulties in Taiwan also have “reassured” China’s leaders to keep the current course on the island.
More interpretive games, and this one from the military .. Admiral: China's 'offensive military capabilities' part of its 'defensive' military strategy
China is developing offensive weapons and forces in additional to defensive arms, a Chinese admiral stated last week.Vice Admiral Yang Yi, the head of the Institute for Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, stated in an official Chinese news report that Chinese military strategy is “defensive,” but that “really does not mean that it will not develop offensive military capabilities.”
“The development of military capabilities should be seen as involving both offensive and defensive types,” Yi said. “However, China's military capabilities, which do involve both offense and defense, will never be used for foreign expansion, and we will never use such military capabilities to invade or ride roughshod over another country.”
Yi said the major world powers are developing weapons and adjusting strategies, a reference to U.S. military forces transformation.
“Informatization [xinxihua] is continuing to open the gap with the mechanized and semi-mechanized military technology era, and there is an increasing disequilibrium in the balance of military power around the world,” Yi said.
“At present, China has a regular army with the greatest number of personnel in the world. However, because investments were insufficient for a long time, in the process in which the revolution in military affairs (RMA) on a global scale is continuing to intensify, the gap between China and the developed countries in the military realm is not shrinking, but rather continuing to expand. The Chinese military has still not completely achieved mechanization, and we are even farther from establishing an informatized force."
China’s military buildup is aimed at protecting “territorial integrity” and includes buying new advanced aircraft, naval vessels and has developed its new fighter, the J-10.
"Nonetheless, the upgrading of individual weapons platforms cannot take the place of the overall upgrading of the operational capabilities of the entire weapons system, and in particular cannot signify a significant improvement in operational capabilities under informatized conditions,” he said.
“Quite a few military analysts in Western countries believe that, overall, the weapons and equipment in China's military are at least 20 years behind the United States and the developed countries of the West.”
Yes, that's how the Song-3 class sub got 3 miles behind behind the newest and most advanced US fleet assets, with two empty cans of Lychee and 5 miles of string ...what a maroon !

Yi said China’s strategy of using military force for counterattacks is based on Sun Tzu’s maxim of "being cautious with regard to war" and "insisting on the legitimacy of warfare."U.S. officials have said China continues to launch “perception management” operations with the main theme that China’s military buildup is non-threatening.
Yet, Chinese military developments are carried out in almost total secrecy and Chinese officials have refused to say when the build-up will end or at whom it is directed.
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